Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.089905 6.867005 7.718213 8.721906 9.875716 11.163673 12.714574
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.879619 5.881698 7.065139 8.573763 10.456937 12.744566 15.755883
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.164369 5.274855 6.662463 8.539698 11.037409 14.280589 18.866323
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.638413 4.794616 6.306275 8.452577 11.462323 15.593768 21.800636
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.391522 4.629424 6.314826 8.814736 12.492897 17.808427 26.261734
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.081656 4.332496 6.094657 8.807439 12.966982 19.252736 29.761645
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.807797 4.051688 5.857893 8.732431 13.307045 20.506710 33.110362
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.465610 3.634452 5.374310 8.220285 12.891789 20.498792 34.344792
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.303780 3.471954 5.256440 8.260810 13.356472 21.961219 38.294340
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.214285 3.411157 5.287196 8.538253 14.237487 24.223665 44.013381
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.109826 3.315909 5.251437 8.695908 14.921843 26.213782 49.518688
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.007053 3.213665 5.193091 8.804709 15.524365 28.118743 55.146313
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.897355 3.094196 5.100675 8.853505 16.040637 29.963857 61.051104
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.753509 2.905445 4.873465 8.635038 16.024499 30.765108 64.864068
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.650898 2.779641 4.745222 8.585836 16.329262 32.248330 70.451335
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.551916 2.652375 4.603253 8.494935 16.536528 33.549188 75.841004
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.524521 2.651193 4.690507 8.858399 17.723369 37.125487 87.431783
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.450079 2.557905 4.597689 8.850894 18.117385 38.982692 95.041133
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.373386 2.454780 4.477752 8.775431 18.352094 40.501089 102.053314
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.251199 2.257473 4.161345 8.260436 17.543639 39.433265 101.777688
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.201674 2.196394 4.108104 8.301184 18.013994 41.545862 110.931115
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.180999 2.189809 4.162599 8.580164 19.075184 45.291619 125.701187
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.148726 2.157930 4.162994 8.738695 19.865396 48.457714 139.443388